Odd Builder & Calculator
Design your perfect multi-leg ticket with precision. Set target odd, min win %, max fair odds, and guardrails that keep variance in check. No more guesswork—just disciplined edges.
Quick Calculator
Use this to explore how constraints shape a safer, sharper ticket. Later, bind this to your Django/HTMX endpoint for real picks.
What is the Odd Builder?
It’s your precision cockpit for multi-leg slips. Instead of stacking random favorites, you define constraints—target odd, min per-leg probability, fair-odds cap, min/max legs, permissible leagues/markets—and let disciplined logic drive the build.
Why it matters
- Confidence over chaos: Guardrails stop overfitting and reckless chasing.
- Edge in the price: Compare book odds to our fair; if price < fair, skip or resize.
- Bankroll longevity: Rules protect your ability to place tomorrow’s ticket.
- Repeatable routine: Same constraints → cleaner tracking → compounding mindset.
How to use it (Step-by-step)
- Set the frame: Choose Target Odd (e.g., 2.0), Min/Max Legs (2–6), Min p% (≥60%), and Max Fair (≤1.60).
- Filter sources: Allow only stable markets (1X2/DC/Over1.5) and trusted leagues for consistency.
- Pick with discipline: Add legs that meet all constraints; avoid correlated combos unless intentionally modeled.
- Price sanity: If book ≪ fair, reduce stake or reject; if book ≥ fair, consider green-lighting.
- Stake smart: 0.5–2% of bankroll per ticket; log date/odds/stake/result.
Preferences & Constraints
- Target Odd: Combined product of legs, e.g., 2.0 (growth) or 3.0 (aggressive).
- Min Legs / Max Legs: Control variance and liquidity; most users do 2–4 legs.
- Min Probability per Leg: e.g., ≥60–70% to keep slips realistic.
- Max Fair Odds per Leg: e.g., ≤1.60 to avoid long-tail volatility.
- Value Check: Favor book ≥ fair; avoid paying above fair.
- Max Correlation: Low/Med/High setting to manage overlap between legs.
- Preferred Markets: 1X2, Double Chance, Over/Under 1.5–2.5, Asian lines with tight spreads.
- Avoid: Exotic props with low limits or noisy data unless priced fairly.
- Whitelist: Mature leagues with reliable liquidity and data.
- Blacklist: Erratic leagues, youth friendlies, late-info fixtures.
- NS — Not Started; normal.
- TBD — To Be Decided; often void or replaced.
- PST — Postponed; typically void.
- FT — Full Time; settlement state.
Example Build
- Target Odd: 2.0
- Legs: 2–3
- Min p: ≥65%
- Max Fair per Leg: ≤1.60
- 1X — 1.40 (p≈72%)
- Over 1.5 — 1.48 (p≈68%)
Combined ≈ 2.07 • Independence p≈49% (before correlation control)
Why winners love it
- Authority in your hands: Set the rules, not your emotions. The tool obeys your edge playbook.
- Elite discipline: You’ll look at slips and instantly see what’s wrong—overpriced, over-correlated, over-confident.
- Time = money: Filter down to quality in minutes, not hours of scrolling.
- Compounding mindset: Focus on repeatable 2.0–3.0 builds that actually survive a season.
- Professional transparency: Every leg shows p%, fair, and the reason it qualified.
FAQ
You can, but expect fewer qualifying legs and higher variance. Start with 2.0, build consistency, then scale carefully.
Our models produce per-leg probabilities and fair odds. The quick calculator assumes independence; server-side we adjust for correlation and league rules.
Most members use 0.5–2% of bankroll. The goal is to protect longevity while compounding edges.
Responsible Use
Only stake what you can afford to lose. Treat the builder as an educational tool to enforce rules and remove emotion. Not financial advice.
© GoldenPrediction — Build with edge. Win with discipline.